Panama hopes to beat the global financial crisis

By Jeremy Schwartz - INTERNATIONAL STAFF for the statesman.com- PANAMA CITY — Cranes hover over the skyline like futuristic insects, buzzing around half-finished skyscrapers that make Panama City look like Miami or Hong Kong. If any country is poised to withstand the ravages of the global financial crisis, it just might be tiny Panama, which has quietly become a regional economic powerhouse in the past five years. Fueled by a superheated real estate market, windfalls from the Panama Canal and a burgeoning banking system, economic growth hit 9.2 percent in 2008 after soaring to 11.5 percent the year before. As nations from the United States to Japan confront shrinking economies in 2009, officials in Panama are predicting relatively robust growth of 4 or 5 percent this year. "This global crisis arrived in a moment in which we find ourselves stronger than we have been in the past," Minister of the Economy Hector Alexander said. "In Panama, the dominant topic isn't the recession." (more) (See Comments)
Editor's Comment: There's one part in this article where an economist named Gordon is quoted as having said "...the percentage of Panamanians laboring precariously in the nation's informal sector — doing things such as selling fruit at intersections — has risen from 33 percent in 2001 to 44 percent today." That's just plain wrong. In fact, the informal employment market has dropped substantially in the past five years to their lowest levels in modern history. There are now more formal jobs - positions in which the employees receive a standard wage, pay income taxes, and appear on the rolls of social security - than ever before. In fact back just eight years ago unemployment was pegged at about 15% or higher, and "underemployment" (informal or non-reported positions) were much higher than they are now. Without a doubt, the entire labor force in Panama has been moving towards formalization. Unemployment is down to about 6% or less. And this guy Gordon's statements are just flat-out incorrect.

(Comments Conclude, Article Continues)

While unemployment has soared in the United States, the unemployment rate in Panama fell from about 14 percent in 2004 to 6.5 percent last year. And as the U.S. is adjusting to life with 12-digit budget deficits, Alexander said Panama is hoping 2009 will be its third consecutive year with a budget surplus.

But the nation hasn't been immune to the global recession. Its real estate market might be heading for a sharp downturn.

Matt Landau, a New Jersey native and Panama City investment consultant, said real estate sales have declined precipitously in recent months, especially among the U.S. and European buyers who largely fueled the boom.

"When I first got here (about four years ago), people were buying (properties) for $200,000 and then flipping them for double or more in six to 12 months," he said. "That was happening even up to a year and a half ago."

Now, Landau said, Panama City is bracing for a glut of high-priced condominiums.

And as global trade is pummeled by the recession, Panama Canal officials expect the number of cargo ships passing through the waterway — and the tolls they pay to the Panamanian government — to fall almost 6 percent this year.

Even there, Panama has an ace up its sleeve in the form of a $5.2 billion Panama Canal expansion, which will widen the canal's locks to allow larger ships to pass through.

Although recession wasn't on the minds of Panamanian voters when they approved the expansion in 2006, officials see the megaproject as a perfectly timed stimulus that will directly create nearly 7,000 jobs in a country of 3 million and spark the creation of thousands of secondary jobs, just as the economy begins to sag.

"It's as if we are increasing public sector spending by 35 to 40 percent," Alexander said. "Today it works as a fiscal stimulus."

Percentagewise, the canal expansion dwarfs any stimulus project the United States is planning. The project represents nearly a quarter of Panama's $23 billion gross domestic product. By comparison, the $787 billion stimulus package in the U.S. represents about 5 percent of America's $14 trillion gross domestic product.

Counternarcotics officials have long suspected that Panama's boom has also been aided by an influx of money from criminal organizations. According to the U.S. State Department's 2008 International Narcotics Control Strategy Report, the country's construction and offshore banking sectors are particularly susceptible to money laundering.

But Panama's economy has been helped by a stable and peaceful political scene, which the nation has enjoyed since the 1989 ouster of dictator Manuel Noriega.

When Noriega was captured by U.S. troops, Panama's economy was in shambles, paralyzed by an economic embargo of Noriega's regime. Successive democratically elected administrations have focused on economic recovery, enacting reforms and privatizing sectors such as telecommunications and electricity.

But some critics say Panama's spectacular economic growth in the past five years has left out the majority of its people.

"The problem is that the growth has stayed in a few hands," said Rolando Gordon, a University of Panama economics professor. "The economic boom hasn't been able to resolve any of the great social problems of the country."

Gordon said government statistics obscure the fact that even as the country's economy exploded, the percentage of Panamanians laboring precariously in the nation's informal sector — doing things such as selling fruit at intersections — has risen from 33 percent in 2001 to 44 percent today.

Gordon added that public schools are underfinanced, and access to drinking water remains problematic for many Panamanians. At the same time, the price of basic foodstuffs has increased.

"This boom we're having is tremendous," taxi driver Jose Cano said. "But for the poor, the humble, we aren't seeing the boom. The price of food is going up. I have my own taxi, so I'm doing pretty well, but there are a lot of people who are recycling cans and stealing scrap metal."

The World's Top Property Hotspots for 2009

Oxford 26 January 2009 - International real estate investment specialists Property Frontiers have named their top six property investment hotspots for 2009 – and the list contains some surprises. Panama, the Central American republic tops the list due to a strong economy, a favourable tax regime and offshore banking attracting businesses from across the globe. Investors can choose a variety of different options, from hotels enjoying high occupancy rates, to offices, and beachside resorts. The expansion of the Panama Canal looks set to underpin future economic growth. The Malaysian capital Kuala Lumpur is a thriving city with affordable property and accessible cheaply with a new budget airline linking direct to London with flights from just £99. Outside of Kuala Lumpur is the teeming tourist playground of Sabah on North Borneo,Where Brazil is a booming economy and with sun, samba and a cheap cost of living, is taking over from Florida as the fun capital of the world – and is the same flight distance from London as Miami.


Tourism is lifting off around the northeast city of Natal, which boasts average daily temperatures of 28°C all-year-round and mile after mile of sandy, palm fringed beaches. If traditional buy-to-let is the target, Sao Paulo is one of the world’s largest and fastest growing cities with an insatiable demand for quality accommodation. Slovakia’s High Tatras national park offers all-year round tourism as a UNESCO area of outstanding natural beauty. In the summer, the mountains are an attraction for walkers and golfers, while in the winter cheap skiing lures visitors from all over Europe.



The USA is tipped as one to watch as prices bottom out. Apartments in Florida are selling at 54% lower than their launch price, and according to the builders, at less than their build cost and offer an instant 6% rental return. Coming in last is the UK, with property bargains piling up at auction houses and market commentators still forecasting that prices are stagnating or still falling in most areas. “In real terms the pound is at a point not seen for 10 years. This offers a fantastic buying opportunity for international investors. As a company we have never seen so many enquiries from our international investors looking for UK property. A combined depreciation of the pound and the market now makes UK property some 54% cheaper than a year ago.



source: Panama-Guide.com

Consumer confidence high in Panama

Although the rest of the world's consumer confidence may be in the toilet, Panama's is still riding high. As this particle points out, it is due partially to a 13th month year end mandatory bonus and Panamanian's belief in a brighter future.

Excerpt From La Estralla:

Jacques de Raucourt of GFK Marketing Group, the company that carries out the consumer’s confident surveys for the Panamanian Chamber of Commerce said the increment of the index in Panama was directly related to the high level of commercial activity in December, mainly because during that month the Panamanians receive more income, like the 13th month payment and other incentives.
Consumers expectations about the financial situation of their homes went up to 118, five points higher that in November, which indicates optimism for the future.

By DON WINNER for Panama-Guide.com - I've said it before a dozen times, the only people who are really taking a risk in the Panamanian real estate market are the speculators. Everyone is playing the "what's going to happen" game in this economy, and thankfully Panama is in an excellent position to weather the storm quite nicely. Bank reserves have tripled in the past three years, the economy grew 11.5% in 2007, should come in at around 9.2% for 2008, and is expected to continue the run of growth in 2009 at about 7.5% or better. Demand for real estate in Panama has fallen sharply with the onset of the global crisis as retirees worriedly pour over the reports on what's left of their 401K's and retirement investments. They can't sell their empty nests and it's harder for potential buyers to obtain mortgages in a tightening credit environment. Unemployment is on the rise, car makers are being laid off, and in general we're looking at a period of tough times in the US, Europe, and Asia, a malaise that will most certainly cause significant economic harm in Panama and the rest of Latin America. But here's the good news... (more)

Oh, Woe Is Me... Not so much. There are a whole raft of things working in Panama's favor that will help this relatively tiny Central American nation come through the storm with flying colors - such as;

The Banking System is Solid: Foreigners love to bitch and complain about the Panamanian banking system; it's hard to open an account, they need a lot of paperwork, you have to put down 20% or 30% in cash to get a mortgage, you have to have life insurance, etc. In fact, the Panamanian banking system is relatively skittish compared to the guys in the United States who played fast and loose and who are now getting hurt. Panamanian banks didn't play those games, and the banks are in great shape. That means there won't be any local failures or collapses like those in New York and London. Those same things we like to bitch and complain about are the things that kept the Panamanian banking system out of the muck.


The Financing Is In Place: If you look out upon the skyline of Panama City and you see a construction crane, that means those developers and builders have already secured financing to build their projects. For the most part they had to sell about 50% of the units in pre-construction sales contracts in order for the banks to turn loose the funds. Generally speaking, builders don't start to build unless they have financing, and banks won't finance unless they have reduced their risk to practically zero. Banks love zero risk.


The Profit Is In The Other 50% - Builders and developers make their money on the second half of sales, after the building is built (or while it is being built). The first 50% is just to pay the cost of construction and to get things done. The second half is the income. So guess what? If market forces bring down prices and builders reduce prices to "dump" the remaining inventory, then that just means they end up making less profit in the end but so far no one is losing any serious money. The banks are covered, the builders are covered, and the buyers get a nice place for a lower price. Where's the pain?


Cement Doesn't Rot: All of the high-rise condominiums in Panama are made out of poured concrete, cement, ceramic tiles, glass, and steel. They still have all of the wonderful features that made them attractive in the first place, such as sweeping views of the Bay of Panama, a great location right in the middle of the city, modern design, fantastic social areas, security, etc. Anyone who bought one of these units can just sit tight and wait for a few years for things to turn around and the relative value of these properties will return promptly. The builders can literally sit on unfinished inventory and simply wait for the market to turn around. When it does, they can put these units back on the market. In the meantime, they can just sit there, and so what? The builders will realize their profits later. Between now and then they will probably be able to eat. Thanks for being worried.


First Out Of The Gate: The fundamentals which created the "Panamanian Miracle" are still in place for the most part, and it's the international situation that's throwing some cold water on the fire. Sooner or later things will turn around, and when that happens you'll see that Panama has weathered the storm in fine shape. Really smart investors will bottom-feed here and there to look for opportunities as they arise with an eye toward the midterm future. The $5.25 billion dollar (plus) expansion of the Panama Canal is going full speed and will continue through 2014. The Panamanian economy is still solid and stable, and there are several significant infrastructure projects ongoing that are stimulating the economy. Some sectors will take a hit, others will hold fast, and still others will grow during this global recession. But when the smoke clears, Panama will be very well positioned to right to the head of the pack, again.


The Richest Country in Latin America? Really? No, not yet. Actually, using data from the end of 2007, Panama was the 7th richest country in Latin America behind Chile, Mexico, Venezuela, Brazil, Uruguay, and Argentina. Historically speaking, Panama was both helped and hurt by the domination of the United States for all those years. The Panama Canal brought jobs and stimulated the economy, but only to a certain point. Now, with the reins removed and with Panama cashing in on their newfound position as toll-taker for world shipping, the Panamanian economy is smartly stepping forward and improving in all measurable areas. Before too long, and it might take another ten or fifteen years, Panama will slowly move up through the ranks to take it's place as the richest country in Latin America. It's going to happen, and it's only a matter of time. Just remember you heard it here first.


GDP Per Capita Is What Matters Most: Panama's Per capita GDP (2007) was $5,970 (Source), up from $3,939 in the year 2000. The overall size and weight of a national economy matters, but a better measure is compare economies in terms of size of their relative populations. Consider the following chart, prepared using data from the end of 2007. Clearly Panama is the #1 Central American economy in terms of GDP per capita. The nation's economy continues to improve, fueled by year after year of continued and steady growth, while others such as Venezuela falter;

Sometimes Small is Good: There are only 3.3 million people living in Panama, so big economic improvements are spread across the board relatively quickly. Unemployment is down to 5.6% and falling. Foreign Direct Investment continues to pour in from around the world. Easing prices for fuel, food, and consumer goods are putting more discretionary funds in the hands of consumers. There is upward pressure on wages as skilled and experienced workers get better and better positions and employers have to fight to keep their valued employees. Being a small country with solid economic fundamentals means Panama will be able to literally dodge most of the really big bullets coming from this global slowdown. There will be impacts, but those effects will be relatively dispersed and mitigated.


Clueless Chicken Littles: As always, there are always people waiting for their chance to scream "fire" at the first possible instance. And as usual those people are, for the most part, dead wrong and pretty much clueless. For instance real estate prices in Panama are established by market forces. Sellers offer products and buyers make offers - and if those two can come to an agreement and meet in the middle then the sale is closed. If they can't come to an agreement then (obviously) the sale does not take place. I've seen some articles lately literally chastising real estate developers, screaming that they should "wake up" to some version of a new reality and lower their prices. Not to worry - simple market forces of supply and demand will establish the value for every piece of property for sale. No need to tell sellers (or buyers) what to do, prices and relative value will be established for them by the big picture.


To Lose Money: For the most part, anyone who finds themselves trying to sell a property might end up making less profit than they had planned or hoped. So far, I've still not heard of one person who has been forced to sell their property for less than what they paid for it, realizing a net loss. So it's still a good marketplace, just not as incredibly lucrative as it has been for the past several years. But less profit is still profit, not loss. My advice - plan to get rich more slowly. Patience.
That's About It For Now: Panama will miss the worst of it. The fundamentals are still in place. Specific sectors will take worse hits than others, and overall the economy will continue to grow. And, once it's all over, Panama will be ready to spring ahead like the virtual rabbit in the toad race, compared to others in the region that will take more substantial hits. So strap on your helmets, hunker down for awhile, and ride it out. Panama is a great place to be right now.

Copyright 2008 by Don Winner for Panama-Guide.com.

Panama to Maintain Growth Amid Crisis, Torrijos Says

Dec. 10 (Bloomberg) -- Panamanian President Martin Torrijos said his country will maintain high levels of growth and a low jobless rate next year even as the credit crisis triggers a worldwide economic slowdown.

The Central American country’s economy will probably expand between 6.5 percent and 8 percent in 2009 and 9 percent this year, Torrijos said in an interview with Bloomberg Television today in Panama City. The U.S. recession won’t impede financing for his government’s $5.2 billion project to expand the Panama Canal, he said.

“There are very good projections for Panama,” Torrijos, 45, said. “If there’s any country that has an advantage that will make the crisis the least traumatic possible, it’s Panama.”

A solid financial system, infrastructure projects, fuel and transportation subsidies and low interest rates for the agricultural industry will help maintain growth, Torrijos said. Panama’s economy has expanded for 23 consecutive quarters, including 11 percent growth last year. The jobless rate fell to 6.4 percent last year from 14 percent in 2001.

Panama signed an agreement yesterday with five overseas banks to receive financing to enlarge the canal. The $2.3 billion loan allows lower interest payments for the next 10 years as work gets under way to expand the 50-mile-long (80 kilometers) canal, which connects the Pacific Ocean with the Caribbean Sea.

The agreement for the loan calls for $800 million from the Japan Bank for International Cooperation and $500 million from the European Investment Bank. The other participants are the Inter-American Development Bank, the World Bank’s International Finance Corp. and Andean Development Corp.

Canal Authority

The rest of the funds needed for the project will come from contract awards and shipping fees, Panama Canal Authority Chief Executive Officer Alberto Aleman said today on a conference call.

“Yesterday’s signing shows the whole world that it’s a solid, viable project, that there’s confidence in the canal and its management,” Torrijos said before meeting today with U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice in Panama City. “This ensures the continuity of the canal enlargement.”

The canal authority is preparing for the expansion even as traffic through the canal fell 0.1 percent from a year earlier in the initial nine months of 2008, the first such drop since 2002. Transport fees may be raised at the end of next year if the global economic slump continues to curb use, Aleman said.

About 27 percent of the world’s container ships are too big for the canal, a figure that will rise to 37 percent by 2011, the authority has said. The expansion project is on schedule to be finished by 2014, Aleman said today.

Panama’s poverty rate dropped to 29 percent of the population last year from 37 percent in 2001.

The New Panama Red

Last Friday, Dec. 5, the Russian Navy sailed a warship into the Panama Canal--the first time since World War II. This week Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice flies to Panama to reinforce U.S. interests in the Zone.

Although it sounds like a reversion to Cold War intrigue that would make you want to load up on swords, your better bet might be plowshares.

The free trade spirit permeates Panama. It operates the world's second-largest free trade zone after Hong Kong. Its overall economic growth rate matches that of China. Panama has posted 23 consecutive quarters of economic growth, growing gross domestic product by 11.5% in 2007. This is double the pace of the rest of Latin America and well ahead of the U.S.

Three things explain a continuing positive outlook for Panama.

First, the Panamanian construction sector is in hyper-growth mode. U.S. retirees are attracted there by the lower cost of living, a dollarized economy, English-speaking people and proximity to the states. Several high-profile real estate projects like the Trump Ocean Club are also drawing upscale jet-set buyer attention. Panama City is only a three-hour flight from Miami and has all the signs of a boom town, including building cranes on the skyline and traffic congestion.

Second, the canal widening construction project is boosting the Panamanian economy. This is the largest infrastructure project in Latin America with a price tag of $5.2 billion. This week, five major multinational agencies are expected to agree on a $2.3 billion, 20-year long-term financing. The project is already pumping money into the local service-based economy, which should easily reach the 7%-8% International Monetary Fund growth projections for next year,

Third, the economy of the Colon Free Trade Zone represents almost 8% of the entire Panamanian economy and another potential contributor to growth. Last year, trade between the U.S. and Panama amounted to $4 billion in goods. If the U.S. ratifies the U.S.-Panama Free Trade Agreement, tariffs on 80% of the industrial and consumer goods imported from the U.S. should be eliminated. Lower tariffs will make it easier for U.S. companies like Caterpillar (nyse: CAT) to compete for much-needed earth-moving equipment sales.

Panama Canal 'Open to All,' Including Russian Warships

Panama said its canal is open to all, including a Russian warship sailing through the transoceanic waterway on Friday.

The destroyer Admiral Chabanenko is the first Soviet or Russian military ship to traverse the 50-mile waterway since World War II.

The U.S. government has shown little concern about the destroyer's trip through a canal that was off limits to the Soviet Union during the Cold War.

Click here for photos.

The destroyer's journey to the Western Hemisphere, however, reflects Russia's growing influence and anger with the U.S. for using warships to deliver aid to Georgia after its August war with Russia.

Panamanian Foreign Minister Samuel Lewis portrayed the Russian canal crossing as business as usual.

"Here there is no other message than that the canal is open to all of the world's ships," he said.

The warship is part of a fleet that is the first Russian navy deployment to the Western Hemisphere since the Cold War. Before arriving at the canal, it took part in joint exercises with Venezuela's navy.

Also on Friday, Russia said it was sending its sole aircraft carrier and several accompanying ships for combat training in the Atlantic and the Mediterranean.

The destroyer entered the canal Friday night and was expected to take eight hours to reach the Pacific. Following its passage, the Admiral Chabanenko will dock at what was once the base for all U.S. naval activities in South America.

The U.S. government handed over the Rodman Naval Station and the canal to Panama nearly a decade ago, and the waterway has since become a symbol of Panama's true independence.

When it opened in 1914, the canal was a symbol of America's growing global reach and became a major U.S. military outpost for generations. The 10-mile-wide (16-kilometer-wide), 50-mile-long strip along the canal was considered U.S. territory -- a fact that allowed Canal Zone native John McCain to run for the U.S. presidency.

Lewis said the canal maintains a neutral policy in world politics. He pointed out that the ship's passage came just a few days before U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice is scheduled to visit Panama.

In Panama, a Home in the Mountains

December 2, 2007

By KEVIN BRASS

ALTOS DE CERRO AZUL, Panama
The terrace of Rachelle and Ben Smith’s home is one of the few places on earth with views of both the Pacific and Atlantic oceans. On clear days, they sit there and watch the ships line up to enter the Panama Canal.

The area is also something of a bird paradise. Ornithologists regularly lead tours through the valleys, hoping for glimpses of the toucans, migratory birds and rare hummingbirds that regularly visit the treetops in the Smiths’ backyard. “The rope across there is for the monkeys,” Mr. Smith said, pointing to ropes strung through the tall pines around the house, near platforms covered with sliced bananas and bird feed.

The couple paid $150,000 in March 2006 for their three-bedroom, three-bath home. The house is situated on two acres of land, and it is a little more than an hour’s drive from Panama City.
In 2003, after Mr. Smith — who goes by “Smitty” — sold his plumbing business in Jacksonville, Fla., the couple spent three years living on a 38-foot sailboat called the Seawolf. But two years ago, while they were visiting relatives in the United States, their boat was destroyed by Hurricane Wilma.

Their initial search for a new home focused on the Caribbean and Costa Rica. But then they met Marie Farrell, a Panama native and an agent with ReMax in the Jacksonville area.

Fast-growing Panama is generally considered an easy place for foreigners to buy property, compared with other countries. English is commonly spoken, the United States dollar is the accepted currency, there are no restrictions on owning land in most areas and the government offers a long list of friendly discounts for pensionados, expatriates who have settled in Panama.
For the Smiths, Panama had an extra appeal — no hurricanes. “We were sick and tired of running from hurricanes,” said Mrs. Smith, 52.

Read the whole story here

Investment propels a real estate boom for Panama

Stability and a steady growth rate are helping to transform this regional hub.
By Sara Miller Llana Staff writer of The Christian Science Monitor

November 26, 2007

Panama City - The hilltop view overlooking the former Howard US Air Force Base in Panama says it all. The vacant barracks will be the site of a $10 billion minicity slated to be the size of Central London. Just beyond the hills, the Panama Canal is undergoing a $5 billion expansion, and in the background cranes hang over new skyscrapers that seem to rise every week.
Panama, it seems, is in its prime.

Once overlooked as nothing but a canal, this tiny Central American nation of 3 million is attracting residents, businesses, and investors the world over. Some are seeking a haven from political situations in the region. Others are jumping on what they see as one of the best investments around. But as the government markets itself as the Latin American lodestone, many caution that the city is growing too quickly out of its own infrastructure.

"We are the geographic hub of the Americas," says Ivan Carlucci, the president of the Panamanian Association of Real Estate Brokers and Developers, adding that 11,000 new units will come online this year. He boasts that 99 percent have already sold. Some say that speculators have fueled the boom, but Mr. Carlucci says he expects the real-estate market to maintain its momentum because of other large infrastructure and industrial projects throughout the country. "We will be sustained by all the other aspects."

See the whole story here

A day in Panama City— brand-new skyscrapers, and a colonial quarter

Nov. 13, 2007, 12:56PM
By ARTHUR FROMMER King Features

Still reeling from the fact that our Panama City hotel had a full-scale casino of roulette wheels, blackjack dealers, craps tables and slots (nothing had prepared us for Panama's Las Vegas-style gambling), Roberta and I headed for our first morning in town to the city's outstanding quarter of colonial gems, the Casco Viejo district of 17th-century Spanish charm.

Preserved as the conquistadors left it, Casco Viejo vies with Old Havana and Old San Juan in authenticity — but it is beginning to leave the others behind with the restored beauty of its courtyards, and the sparkling tiles and marble that line many of the cafes, restaurants and shops that occupy these historic structures. Just as Panama City's downtown across the bay is transforming itself into a totally unexpected, skyscraper-packed Hong Kong, Casco Viejo is in the process of being restored into the most tastefully attractive area of the city.

Here the district is studded with fun gift shops (potholders and eyeglass containers in the strongly colorful designs — "molas" — of Panama's indigenous Indians, dolls in the ruffled long skirts of Panama's 19th-century women, feather-light Panama hats), the cafes and restaurants are gracious and courtly, the sight of the city's skyline across the water is stunning, the Presidential Palace (currently housing the Honorable Martin Torrijos) is the center of power and is surrounded by military — but friendly — guards, and the chief sightseeing attraction is the Museo del Canal Interoceanico (the museum that relates the history of the Panama Canal — although its inscriptions are in Spanish only, its many visual aids and movies are understood easily). The Canal museum is an indispensable stop, a necessary prelude to your visit to the Miraflores Locks later in the day.

After a $30 lunch for the two of us (including appetizers, main course, two Panama beers and dessert) at the elegant Mostaza Restaurant, we took a cab to the Miraflores Visitors' Center on the outskirts of town for a look at the actual workings of the canal. As we stood on a high outdoor balcony overlooking the Miraflores Locks, an announcer speaking over a loudspeaker in Spanish, English and French explained the intricate workings that lifts these giant vessels to different levels of the artificial waterway. Asian sailors stood on the deck of one enormous container ship, looking up at us tourists as we gazed at them and their ship.

From Miraflores, we visited not one but two successive marketplaces of Panama City, and bought gifts for relatives back home at prices that were a quarter the levels charged in the lobby gift shop of our hotel. The tourism of Panama is centered not simply in Panama City, but to a far greater extent in the picture-perfect, uncrowded beaches (with several large resorts) just outside Panama City, and in the renowned San Blas Islands, Pearl Islands and Bocas del Toro offshore islands, as well as on the Gulf of Chiriqui. It's found in the mountain stretches of Boquete, housing rain forests, coffee plantations, and Embera and Kuna Indians — a superb setting for tourism.

Just as Americans began flocking to Costa Rica a decade ago, they're now going to what might become the new hot spot of Central America, Panama. You should consider a trip.

Another Huge Project Planned for Panama

Panama builds on its Economic Boom

von Richard Lapper and Adam Thomson (FTD.de - (Panama City) -

A $10bn project outside the capital is the latest sign of US and Canadian hunger to invest in residential property developments. President Martín Torrijos of Panama last month unveiled what could become one of the biggest investment projects in the country's history, with a value of up to $10bn. The creation of an urban centre the size of central London on the outskirts of Panama City is the latest sign of an economic boom that has invited comparisons between Panama and bigger international business centres, such as Dubai. A specially created government agency will provide residents with streamlined regulation and there will be tax incentives for selected industries. London & Regional, the UK-based company that will develop the site, said the project, on the former Howard US air force base, would reinforce Panama's attractions as a centre of international business. Ian Livingstone, of London & Regional, said it would combine industrial, retail and residential properties and its value could be worth up to $10bn. (more)

Editor's Comments: Add $10 billion for the development of Howard. If forgot about this one. Man, who can keep track of all of the money that's going to be pouring in...

Mr Torrijos's administration, which took office in 2004, is poised to award the first contract for breaking ground in an ambitious $5.25bn plan to expand the canal, which connects the Atlantic and Pacific oceans and is one of the world's most important waterways.
Panama took full control of the canal in 1999 and the investment in three new locks and physical widening will facilitate the passage of huge cargo ships, known as post-Panamax vessels.
International and local companies are pouring billions of dollars into Panamanian residential property developments, in large part to capitalise on the peak of interest shown by US and Canadian retired people and second-home buyers. In addition, deals worth $14.5bn have been agreed recently to build two oil refineries and the US Congress is expected to approve a trade agreement soon between the two countries.

Mr Torrijos said recently that the refineries, canal expansion and trade pact are the three motors that could propel Panama towards developed country status. Panama's economy, which is fully dollarised, grew 8.1 per cent in 2006, and economists believe it could grow more than 10 per cent this year. Inflation, meanwhile, is subdued and lending rates are among the most competitive in the western hemisphere. However, some analysts suggest that the government must do more to reduce poverty, especially in rural areas, if development goals are to be achieved.

"Wealth is being concentrated more and more. This is very bad news," said Guillermo Chapman, an analyst at the Indesa consultancy in Panama City.
The London & Regional project hopes to attract businesses from neighbouring countries that do not enjoy the sort of stability that Panama offers. Panama has begun to attract higher numbers of investors from Colombia and Venezuela than in previous years, and analysts expect that trend to continue.

Although London & Regional has yet to present the government with a master plan of the 1,800-hectare site, the plans are known to include a golf course, flats, schools and a hospital.
"It will have an urban feel, with town-centre-type shops, public open spaces, condominiums ... We are going to build a sustainable community," said Mr Livingstone. "In terms of logistics, it's a no-brainer,'' he said.

In addition to an initial $405m minimum investment over the next eight years by London & Regional and local partners, Mr Livingstone has committed another $300m over the remainder of the 40-year concession.

(contrubited by Don Winner of http://www.panama-guide.com/)

Latin America's real estate Panamania

Latin America's real estate Panamania
Once a sleepy Latin American capital, Panama City has become one of the world's hottest real estate markets. How long can the fever last?

By Eliza Barclay, Fortune Magazine
July 5 2007: 11:41 AM EDT

(Fortune Magazine) -- Off in the distance, where Panama Bay becomes the Pacific, container ships loaded with merchandise bound for the U.S. bob in the haze. Closer in, a flock of construction cranes hovers over densely clustered high-rises. Fourteen stories below, on Balboa Avenue, cars inch along, their windows sealed tight against the sweltering heat.
The view belongs to Jim and Imogene Buckley, a retired couple from Greensboro, Ga., who purchased their one-bedroom condo a few years ago, before it was built, for $140,000. The apartment, which they'll use every other winter month, alternating with another couple from Wyoming, gives them a ringside seat overlooking one of the world's hottest real estate markets.

"Panama looked like a good investment and a place to have a good time," says Jim Buckley, 76, a former U.S. Air Guard pilot, while admiring the view. "You don't need a lot of sense to see that it will increase in property value."

Panama City is in the midst of an unprecedented real estate boom that is transforming the skyline of this once-sleepy Latin American capital. More than 30,000 units worth about $5.7 billion have come on the market since last July, according to Paul McBride, CEO of Prima Panama, a real estate marketing company.
That's a lot of condos in a country where the total economy measured $16.2 billion last year. And the boom shows no sign of abating: Among the showiest of the new projects is the Iron Tower, a 78-story luxury apartment building and Hilton Hotel complex that will be one of the tallest buildings in Latin America when it is completed. Even Donald Trump has a project on the boards.

Part of what's driving growth in Panama City, where the median apartment price recently surpassed the median home price in the U.S., is a wave of retirees from North America, like the Buckleys, looking for a place in the sun. So far, few Americans have moved permanently, but many are buying second homes or just plain speculating. Europeans are here too, and there's plenty of new wealth in Latin America, in places like Venezuela and Colombia, looking for a safe haven.
Call it Panamania. Is it a bubble in the making, or the rise of a new Miami? Despite the abundance of cranes around Panama City, only about 10 percent of the projects being sold are under construction, says McBride. "We're not even seeing the construction boom in Panama yet," he says. "This place will look like Manhattan if all these projects come to fruition."

Certainly the decision to spend $5.2 billion to double the width of the Panama Canal, the country's biggest source of revenue, is a sign of Panama's prosperity. The addition of a new lane and a new set of locks will allow post-Panamax container ships, the world's largest, to pass through the canal. "The expansion of the canal has woken up the curiosity of a lot of people," says Saul Faskha, the local developer of the Iron Tower and one of Panama's biggest boosters.

Panama's economy has been growing at breakneck speed - 8.1 percent last year, compared with 6.4 percent in 2005 - and the government finished the year with a surplus of $576 million. Exports from Panama's free-trade zone, the second largest in the world after Hong Kong's, have helped fuel the growth. The U.S. Congress is expected to sign a free-trade agreement with Panama sometime this year, which should boost exports even further. And several multinational corporations have moved or are moving their Latin American headquarters to Panama City, including Caterpillar, Sanofi-Aventis and Samsung.

Consumer spending has also swelled, the banking sector is strong, and 40,000 new jobs were created last year. All that is good news for the government of Martín Torrijos, son of former strongman Omar Torrijos, who ruled Panama from 1968 to 1981. Unlike his father, the younger Torrijos came to power in a fair election in 2004. And unlike his father, Torrijos doesn't have to deal with a U.S.-occupied Canal Zone: Panama took control of the canal in 1999 and has proved adept at running it. Gone, too, are the U.S. troops that toppled another dictator, Manuel Noriega, a corrupt former general who is nearing the end of a 17-year U.S. prison term for cocaine trafficking.

Rumors that Noriega might want to return to Panama have cast a cloud over an otherwise bright mood. But the country, 36 percent of whose population lives in poverty, has other problems to deal with. For one thing, says Torrijos, during a recent trip to a small mountain town, "there is a huge demand now for a skilled workforce."

Indeed, a labor shortage has already helped slow construction activity in Panama City, and developers are concerned that other factors may hinder the completion of projects. Materials and equipment are in high demand, from rebar to cement to earthmovers. The construction frenzy has also put a strain on the city's infrastructure, and the government is struggling to build enough roads, water-treatment facilities and other projects.

One big problem: All of Panama City's sewage is dumped into the bay, and a treatment plant won't be completed until 2009. "Panama has grown very, very fast - we didn't anticipate this," says Ubaldino Real, Minister of the Presidency. "The government has had to take out more money to be able to act much faster to build roads."

But that hasn't dampened the enthusiasm of people like José Manuel Bern, director of sales and projects for Empresas Bern, one of Panama City's oldest and largest developers. The company's Bayfront Tower, completed in April, is among the first buildings designed for foreigners - distinct from those built for locals because they have balconies but no maid's rooms. Bern says that he sold nearly all the apartments in the tower four years ago, and that units that originally went for $130,000 now sell for $330,000. "We used to be very focused on the local market," he says, "but now I sell to a foreigner every other day."

Prima Panama's McBride and others are worried that the building boom is ultimately going to exceed demand. "I do not think there will be sufficient buyers to absorb capacity, if in fact capacity is delivered," McBride says. "When you see prices going up, driven by speculative investors, that points to a bubble."

Try telling that to Adolfo Olloqui, a Spanish developer whose company, Grupo Olloqui, is building what will be one of the tallest luxury towers in downtown Panama City, the 77-story Palacio de la Bahia. "Panama is the Miami of the future," he says. "With the visa problems in the U.S., South Americans, Central Americans and North Americans will want to come here to do business and to live."

Or try telling it to the Buckleys, who at least have a splendid view from their new Panama perch.
From the July 9, 2007 issue